There've been a flurry of overnight developments.

The caveat, up front, is that this is a president who changes his mind and has delivered very mixed messages in recent weeks. He also sees real value in saying one thing and doing the opposite. He bluffs.

That said, his language is more definitive than before. It feels more than ever like an "off-ramp" from his "Iran excursion" as he calls it.

Iran war latest: Trump considers 'winding down' Iran war

First, on the White House south lawn, he told us: "Oh, I think we've won. We've knocked out their navy, their air force. We've knocked out their anti-aircraft. We've knocked out everything. We're roaming free."

He followed that with: "We want victory… and that's what we've got."

As ever the messaging was somewhat mixed. "Well, look," he said: "… I don't want to do a ceasefire. You know, you don't do a ceasefire when you're literally obliterating the other side."

But then an hour later, from the air, on Air Force One he delivered the clearest indication yet, via his Truth Social account, that he's keen to wind down the conflict.

Does he really think he's achieved all the war aims, or is he now properly spooked by the global economic consequences the war has caused?

List of accomplishments

On Truth Social he said: "We are getting very close to meeting our objectives as we consider winding down our great Military efforts in the Middle East with respect to the Terrorist Regime of Iran."

Then he lists the accomplishments as he sees them:

"(1) Completely degrading Iranian Missile Capability, Launchers, and everything else pertaining to them.

"(2) Destroying Iran's Defense Industrial Base.

"(3) Eliminating their Navy and Air Force, including Anti Aircraft Weaponry.

"(4) Never allowing Iran to get even close to Nuclear Capability, and always being in a position where the U.S.A. can quickly and powerfully react to such a situation, should it take place.

"(5) Protecting, at the highest level, our Middle Eastern Allies, including Israel, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Kuwait, and others."

I'll get to his kicker for his allies in a moment but a thought on those points above first.

The nuclear material is still in Iran

The first three points amount to the comprehensive destruction of Iran's military - that may well be accurate given how intense the American and Israeli bombing has been over three weeks.

But point four - "Iran is now not even close to nuclear capability"?

Well it's almost certainly been knocked back years, but the nuclear material - near weapons grade, remember - that's still somewhere in Iran.

And, of course, for now at least the regime remains in place: more defiant, more aggrieved, more intent on revenge.

Danger of retaliation is huge

The danger of low-level, prolonged, dangerous and disruptive asymmetrical retaliation is huge. The Iranian regime, as President Trump reminds us, was the global sponsor and exporter of terror. Its sleeper cells are sophisticated. It's a huge challenge for intelligence agencies.

Finally - the kicker in his statement.

"The Hormuz Strait will have to be guarded and policed, as necessary, by other Nations who use it - The United States does not! If asked, we will help these Countries in their Hormuz efforts, but it shouldn't be necessary once Iran's threat is eradicated."

Put simply - he's saying: "Sorry folks - not America's problem. We broke the global energy market. You need to fix it."

He adds that it will be easy to fix. No one else anywhere is claiming that, by the way.

So what next? Well, let's see how what's left of the Iranian government responds to this apparent shift by President Trump.

Remember too that this is a president who shifts, changes, and contradicts his own statements all the time.

To underline that, thousands more American troops are already on the way to the region.

Don't take anything for certain.

The 34-year-old Iranian man and 31-year-old Romanian woman were arrested after reports that people were trying to enter Faslane naval base, on the west coast of Scotland.

Police Scotland said it was told of the attempt at around 5pm on Thursday and the suspects were arrested the following day.

Iran War latest - UK air base targeted by Tehran

The pair are due to appear at Dumbarton Sheriff Court on Monday, the force said in a statement, adding that its enquiries are ongoing.

Faslane, on the Gare Loch, is home to the core of the UK's attack submarine fleet and the Trident nuclear deterrent.

A Royal Navy spokesperson confirmed two people "who unsuccessfully attempted to enter HM Naval Base Clyde [Faslane] on Thursday 19 March" had been arrested and charged, adding it would not comment further as an investigation was under way.

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Sky's defence and security analyst Michael Clarke said Faslane was "the biggest military base in Scotland", with around 6,000 to 7,000 people there, "both civilians and military".

"Faslane is probably Britain's most important single installation", he added. "We have seven attack submarines. And if they're all out of maintenance, then this is where they operate from."

The natural light show, known as the aurora borealis, is one of nature's "most spectacular displays", according to the Met Office.

Pictures from Friday night featured waves of mostly green and purple light at Bamburgh in Northumberland in the UK, as well as in Estonia and Canada, while social media users posted images taken elsewhere, including Russia.

While the Northern Lights are mostly visible near the Arctic Circle and northern Scotland, the Met Office said "pale green and pink to vibrant reds, blues, and violets can sometimes light up the night sky, especially in the north of the UK".

The Met Office said on Thursday there was a chance of seeing the northern lights "over the next couple of nights", predicting sightings being "most likely across Scotland where skies are clear but perhaps into northern England too".

What causes the Northern Lights?

The shimmering spectacle occurs when energy and charged particles released from the sun through coronal mass ejections (CMEs) and solar flares travel towards Earth on the solar wind and collide with the Earth's magnetic field and upper atmosphere, interacting with gases to create spectacular displays of blue, purple, green, pink and red.

If the solar activity is strong enough, it will cause a geomagnetic storm.

In January, the Met Office said the solar maximum was "all but confirmed to have taken place in 2024 and 2025", meaning solar activity on the surface of the sun "appears to be in a declining phase".

But it said this phase "can be a period which can often bring strong events, as evidenced by last week's aurora visibility as far south as northern Italy".

Will we see them again soon?

Several things need to occur for the skies over the UK to dazzle again.

Any solar eruptions that do occur need to be aimed at Earth and cause a strong geomagnetic storm.

It also needs to be dark enough, with settled weather allowing clear skies to see the aurora.

What's the best way to capture them?

While the Northern Lights are visible to the naked eye, the colours often appear faint and muted compared with those captured by camera.

To take better pictures of the aerial phenomena, Adobe recommends using manual camera settings and a wide aperture on a camera.

It suggests using low shutter speeds, up to 20 seconds, as well as setting the camera's ISO value all the way to 2,000 or higher - such settings are usually available in smartphones' camera settings.

The long-time training post is headquartered in the hometown of the 21-year-old single mother who was dumped in a hotel septic tank after being brutally murdered in 2012.

The man accused of killing her, Robert Purkiss, was stationed in Nanyuki for a training stint with BATUK.

It took two months for the Kenyan authorities to find Agnes's body and 13 years for an arrest warrant to be issued for the former British soldier charged with her murder.

Her death has had such resounding impact, all these years on, that a Kenyan parliamentary defence committee launched a two-year inquiry into the conduct of the BATUK.

Last October, Agnes's niece Esther told me that the spirit of her aunt cries out and that it will not rest until justice is served. The picture she described of Agnes's suspended soul seeking resolution feels more real than imaginary.

A visit from a celebrated Kenyan-born British army chief to his training troops meant I was able to put questions to him on the grievances of Agnes's family and others, who claim grievous harm at the hands of his troops.

General Sir Roland Walker responded to my request to share a message with Agnes's family. He was firm and emphatic when he delivered a response.

He said: "This has got to follow all the way through to the full investigation and the legal proceedings, and this has got to be seen in the light of a court and judged in accordance with the laws of this land.

"That's what has to happen - justice has to be done, and justice has to be seen to be done.

"That is a business for the courts, and the lawyers, and the police, and the investigation."

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Rose, Agnes's older sister who raised her late sibling's daughter, is hopeful.

After years of Agnes's murder being buried, Rose's daughter Esther has managed to break through the stagnation and take meetings with UK Defence Secretary John Healey in Nairobi and London.

Purkiss is in custody in the UK while court hearings over his extradition continue. He vehemently denies murder, according to his lawyers.

Scrutiny on British troops in Kenya

The visit from the army's operational chief is a huge moment for the British troops training there. The UK-Kenya defence agreement is being scrutinised by Kenya's parliament and the public.

The two countries entered into a series of defence partnerships only months after Kenya gained independence from Britain.

For people in Nanyuki, the British never left. The market town was first set up as a white frontier settlement in the 1920s after the mass expulsion of Maasai from the Laikipia plateau by British colonial forces.

Kenyan MP Caleb Amisi believes that local communities in areas of British military activity still see them as colonial overlords.

He is on the parliamentary defence committee that investigated claims of BATUK violations and is calling for the Defence Cooperation Agreement (DCA) to become more balanced.

Mr Amisi said: "[Kenyans] believe that UK takes advantage, being the superpower, against the third world countries like Kenya. UK is advanced, militarily, economically, and therefore they'll be an interdependence of a country like Kenya towards the UK."

Complaints against British unit

There have been thousands of complaints of violations of conduct by the BATUK from local communities, ranging from murder and rape to environmental damage.

The Lolldaiga Hills were damaged by a fire during a BATUK training exercise in 2021 that destroyed at least 7,000 acres of conservational land. The UK Ministry of Defence accepted responsibility for the fire and reportedly paid out £2.9m to thousands of complainants in compensation.

What does the British Army's chief of general staff - born in Kenya and raised here until he was eight years old - make of the sentiment that the British military presence is an occupying force and extension of colonialism?

"I don't recognise it," Sir Roland told me.

"We are here at the invitation of the Kenyan MOD. We have no right to be here at all. We recognise this is an extraordinary privilege to be able to do what we do in somebody else's country."

Some families have faced irreparable loss. In one herding family in Samburu, a son was killed during a BATUK live firing exercise. Another young woman is now severely disabled after she was hit by a BATUK truck that drove off, according to her mother.

General Walker said: "We absolutely recognise that if they have suffered harm as a consequence of anything that we might be responsible for, it is very important, that they have a voice and that voice is heard."

He added that "we want to facilitate them speaking to the correct authorities, so the right investigations take place, so the right remedies and redresses can follow. So due process is needed".

For Agnes's family, the loss is irreversible. Any justice achieved can lay the ground for closure and peace for them, but it will never bring her back.

The total has risen from 29 on Thursday. It includes two - a 21-year-old student at the University of Kent and a sixth form pupil at Queen Elizabeth's Grammar School in Faversham - who died from the virus in Kent last weekend.

The local demand among university students for meningitis vaccines has been so high that some were turned away on Friday. Queues were forming again on Saturday morning.

The UKHSA said that as of 5pm on Friday, 23 laboratory cases of meningitis were confirmed, and 11 notifications remained under investigation.

NHS Kent and Medway said that 5,841 vaccines had been administered, and 11,841 antibiotics had been handed out, as of 10.30am on Saturday.

Dr Ben Rush, UKHSA consultant in Communicable Disease Control, said: "We continue to remain vigilant for new cases and work closely with NHS England and local authorities across the country to ensure enhanced surveillance is in place. Any new cases will be identified quickly and responded to.

"It's reassuring to have seen so many eligible young people come forward for antibiotics and vaccination and we'd like to thank everyone involved in this effort so far.

"It's vital that people are aware of the signs and symptoms of invasive meningococcal disease and seek immediate medical attention if they or anyone they know develops symptoms.

"The risk to the wider population remains low and UKHSA continues to work with partners to identify contacts and offer necessary treatment."

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More than 500 people, students and others who were eligible, were queuing outside the University of Kent campus clinic waiting to receive vaccines by the time it opened at 9am on Saturday.

Students close to the front told the PA news agency that they had been waiting since 7am, and one said they had waited from around 5am.

Maria, who studies drama and theatre, said: "I think all of us are quite worried at the moment."

She added: "It's important to make sure we protect ourselves because obviously there's been some deaths and people in hospital."

People were seen more quickly than in previous days and the queue had dwindled to around 15 people by about 11am.

Kent County Council's director of public health, Dr Anjan Ghosh, speculated on three "rough" scenarios over the next four weeks.

At a briefing on Friday, he said the "most likely" scenario would see people travelling off campus outside Kent and then spreading the bacteria to others within a household.

The alternative scenarios would see cases remaining contained in Kent or, in a "highly unlikely" worst-case, the outbreak could result in another cluster outside the county.

It comes as St John Rigby Sixth Form College in Wigan said it was notified by the UKHSA that a student there had recently been reported as a suspected meningococcal case.

The college said in a statement: "We would like to reassure you that we have acted quickly and there is only one suspected case at the college.

"Health agencies have completed contact tracing and there is no known connection to the situation in Kent."